When Can We Anticipate Home Heating Prices to Subside?

With winter weather intensifying, homeowners in the U.S. are dealing with the pain of home heating costs. Recent years have seen a remarkable rise in energy prices, leaving many searching for answers and relief. Uncover what impacts home heating prices, the recent trends we’ve seen and strategies to keep your utility bills in check.

Types of Home Heating Fuel

A number of fuels are used to heat homes in the United States:

  • Natural gas heats 48% of American homes.
  • Heating oil heats 5% of homes.
  • Propane fuels another 5%.
  • Electricity warms 40% of U.S. homes. Fossil fuels continue to be the most used source for creating electricity in spite of the renewed focus on renewable energy sources like wind and solar. 

What Affects the Price of Fossil Fuels?

Considering the above information, it’s apparent that fossil fuels heat a large majority of North American households. Supply and demand is the biggest factor driving price fluctuations. An increase in supply—triggered by greater production and storage rates—usually lowers prices, while a spike in demand—triggered by severe weather, a flourishing economy and rising rates for alternative fuels—can cause prices to skyrocket.

Exactly How Much Has the Price of Natural Gas Gone Up?

Domestic natural gas production outpaced consumption starting in 2017, leading to a general price decline throughout 2018. But, demand has surged recently across all sectors, causing natural gas prices to hit heights not seen in over a decade.

In 2022, the average wholesale cost of U.S. natural gas surged to its highest point since 2008, attaining an average of $6.45 per million British thermal units (MMBtu). This huge spike represented a tremendous leap of greater than 53% from the previous year, marking it as one of the sharpest annual increases ever recorded.

Numerous factors led to the volatile rise and instability of natural gas prices last year. In early 2022, manufacturing hiccups caused by freeze-offs and a significant draw from natural gas reserves nudged prices upward. Robust liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports to Europe and other countries, coupled with a surge in domestic demand caused by cold weather, stretched the price range even further.

In the spring of 2022, prices soared past $9/MMBtu, only to fall by 40% following the fire and subsequent stoppage at the Freeport LNG export terminal. This incident drastically cut U.S. LNG exports and redirected more natural gas toward storage. But, as the summer heat ebbed, prices climbed once more, hitting a high point in late August.

Moving into the fall, an uptick in natural gas production and higher-than-average injections into storage saw prices fall closer to the five-year average. However, as temperatures dropped, the demand for heating caused prices to ascend one more time.

When Will Fuel Rates Go Down?

The fluctuations in natural gas prices highlight the intricate interplay of factors influencing home heating prices. As we look onward to the rest of the 2023-24 heating season, the market’s past behavior offers insights into future price trends and the possibility of cost-saving options.

As of late 2023, prices have come down from their previous highs thanks to robust production and fairly mild temperatures. Although demand is still steady, forecasters suggest prices around $3.44/MMBtu this winter, offering some respite for individuals as we move through the heating season.

Tips to Reduce Your Heating Bill

Regardless of how you heat your home or what prices are like, you can take several easy steps to boost energy efficiency and cut your heating expenses. Here are some suggestions:

  • Seal drafty windows and doors with caulk and weatherstripping.
  • Use curtains to your advantage, opening them during the day for free light and heat and then drawing them closed each night to insulate your windows.
  • Add more attic insulation to keep heat from rising out of your home.
  • Invest in a smart thermostat that learns your routines and adjusts the temperature accordingly to help reduce your energy usage.
  • Lower the temperature on your thermostat when you’re out so you don’t pay extra to heat an empty house.
  • Wear warmer clothes indoors so you aren’t forced to crank up the thermostat.
  • Make an appointment for annual furnace maintenance to keep your heating system in top shape.
  • Set up a whole-house humidifier. Moist air feels warmer than dry air, so you feel more comfy at a lower temperature.

Keep Cozy and Warm in the U.S. with Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing

Nothing is of greater importance to the Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing team than your comfort and happiness in your home. Our heating solutions can also help lower home heating costs, which is great news for your finances. With ACE-certified technicians at the helm, you can expect quality, durable solutions to all your comfort needs. Our company’s 100% satisfaction guarantee means that if you’re not totally happy with our services, we promise to make things right.

As a company that prides itself on innovation, customer engagement and community support, you can trust Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing to make a significant difference in your life and sense of comfort. For more information about heating prices in the U.S. or personalized solutions to help lower your utility bills, reach out to the professionals at Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing. Call 866-397-3787 today to learn more.